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Proceedings of International Conference on Climate Change, Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services for the Sustainable Development Goals : Policy and Practice 27-29 June 2016 at the Sirindhorn International Environmental Park, Cha-am, Phetchaburi, Thailand

for  evaluating  the  impacts  of  climate  variable  on  local  community,  ecosystems  and  biodiversity. Keywords:  Climate  extremes,  Dry  zone,  Precipitation,  Temperature,  Myanmar I.  INTRODUCTION Extreme  weather  and  climate  events  have  a  negative  impact  on  ecosystems,  economies,  and  communities  in  a  variety  of  ways  1.  Due  to  increasing  trends  of  several  climate  extreme  events  such  as  cyclones,  intense  r a infall ,   floods,  droughts,  and  landslides,  the  agricultural  production,  water  resources  and  environment  are  under  threat  2.  Many  parts  of  the  world  have  been  experienced  climate  extremes  during  the  last  century  3.  In  recent  years  developing  countries  including  Myanmar  are  more  vulnerable  than  developed  countries  in  terms  of  climate  risk  index  due  to  exceptional  catastrophes  and  low-income.  According  to  the  Global  Climate  Risk  Index  (2016),  Myanmar  is  the  second  highest  vulnerability  country  in  terms  of  climate  extreme  events  and  socio-economic  losses  during  the  past  20  years  4.  Several  researches  have  been  conducted  in  understanding  of  the  trends  in  climate  extremes  on  global  and  regional  scale  (e.g.,  5-10).  However,  long  term  climate  data  for  the  Southeast  Asia  and  Asia-Pacific  region  is  limited,  especially  at  the  country  level  11.  Manton  et  al.  8  selected  6  synoptic  stations  in  Myanmar  and  reported  the  overall  warming  trend  in  the  region  with  increased  in  hot  days  and  warm  nights  as  well  as  a  decrease  in  cold  days  and  cold  nights.  In  addition,  the  frequency  of  precipitation  has  declined  but  with  statistical  insignificance. The  aim  of  this  study  is  to  evaluate  trends  and  extreme  indices  over  41  years  of  daily  temperature  and  precipitation  in  a  dry  zone  region  in Myanmar,  in  order  to  improve  our  understanding  of  the  long  term  variations  and  extreme  changes  in  this  area.  The  results  would  benefit  both  future  evaluation  of  the  impacts  of  climate  change  as  well  as  for  identifying  appropriate  measures  for  adaptation. II. MATERIAL  AND  METHODS A.  Study  Area  Dry  zone  is  located  in  central  part  of  Myanmar  in  Magway,  Mandalay,  and  lower  Sagaing  regions.  The  area  covers  about  10  percent  of  country  with  a  population  of  about  12  million.  Livelihoods  in  this  area  mainly  depend  on  the  south-west  monsoon.  Average  annual  rainfall  in  dry  zone  is  the  lowest  (500- 1,000  mm/year)  and  the  variation  of  seasonal  temperature  is  highest  ranging  from  a  minimum  of  10-15°C  to  a  maximum  of  40-43°C  within  the  country.  Thus,  this  region  is  characterized  by  low  rainfall,  intense  heat,  degraded  soil  conditions,  and  lack  of  significant  surface  water  availability  which  affect  the  ecosystem  services  of  the  local  communities  13.  Moreover  severe  drought  has  been  experienced  in  2005  and  drought  has  become  more  frequent  in  this  region  13.  Considering  the  data  availability,  this  study  focused  on  five  major  cities  of  central  dry  zone,  namely,  Mandalay,  Minbu,  Meikthila,  Monywa,  and  Pyinmana,  as  shown  in  Fig.1. B.  Data  Collection Long  term  time  series  data  of  daily  maximum  temperature  ( °C) ,   minimum  temperature  (°C),  and  daily  precipitation  (mm)  of  five  stations  were  collected  from  the  Department  of  Meteorology  and  Hydrology  (DMH),  Nay  Pyi  Taw,  Myanmar  for  the  period  of  1975  to  2015.  The  location  details  of  these  five  stations  are  shown  in  Table  1.  Minbu  Station  had  a  data  gap  between  1975  to  1980.  Proceedings  of  the  International  Conference  on  Climate  Change,  Biodiversity  and  Ecosystem  Services  for  the 293 Sustainable  Development  Goals  (SDGs):  Policy  and  Practice  27-29  June  2016,  Cha-am,  Phetchaburi,  Thailand


Proceedings of International Conference on Climate Change, Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services for the Sustainable Development Goals : Policy and Practice 27-29 June 2016 at the Sirindhorn International Environmental Park, Cha-am, Phetchaburi, Thailand
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